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Effect of Climate Change on River Flows and Groundwater Recharge, A Practical Methodology: Interim Report on Rainfall-Runoff Modelling

Price: £200

Ref: 06/CL/04/7
ISBN: 1 84057 421 6
Published: 2006

This report presents interim results on the impacts of climate change on average monthly river flows and recharge in the UK. It is based on rainfall-runoff modelling of 27 catchments for the 1961-1990 period and for the 2020s and one climate change emissions scenario (A2). This report demonstrates the operation of the methodology for dealing with the uncertainty related to different Global Climate Models (6 GCMs) and hydrological models (2 model structures and large numbers of parameter sets). The modelling results indicate increases in winter flows and reductions in summer flows in the 2020s.

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