Assessment of the Significance to Water Resource Management Plans of the UK Climate Projections 2009
ISBN: 1 84057 547 6
This report provides a 'rapid assessment' of the UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09), published on June 2009, to determine the headline impacts of river flows and any immediate implications for water company Water Resources Plans (WRPs). It builds on previous work published by UKWIR assessing the impacts of climate change based on global climate change models (UKWIR 07/CL/04/10). The study has developed novel methods for using probabalistic information but otherwise uses a similar modelling approach to provide comparative data and an indication of the impacts of probabalistic projections on future rivers flows. Based on this work a number of research recommendations into the use of UKCP09 have been formulated that will form the basis for developing guidelines and methods for use in future Water Resources Plans.
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